Exploring the edges: What our research is revealing about uncharted climate futures

Access to high resolution climate data across Australia has transformed how we understand the risks ahead. Yet as researchers work with increasing levels of detail in the data, they're discovering important knowledge gaps; signals that suggest our current projections may not be capturing the full spectrum of possible futures. Understanding other plausible futures matters. Preparing Australia for climate risk means looking beyond the conventional outlooks and asking: what might we be missing?

In this upcoming webinar, NESP Climate Systems Hub researchers will unpack what we know with confidence, where uncertainties remain, and why a range of possible futures should be considered. Participants will hear how scientists are exploring climate futures outside the currently modelled range, and how this work is helping decision-makers think more broadly and plan more robustly.

Our speakers will take a deeper dive into two critical emerging themes. First, they'll examine how real world observations of Pacific Ocean warming differ from modelled projections and what those differences may mean for Australia's future climate. Second, they'll explore what current research tells us about global temperature overshoot scenarios and the implications for risk assessment and resilience planning. Together, these perspectives offer a clearer, more nuanced picture of the challenges we need to be ready for.

Join us for this important conversation and equip yourself with the latest thinking on Australia's future climate.

Pricing

• Free

Dates and Times

Contact

Tanya Wilkins

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Speaker bios:

Sugata Narsey is a Senior Research Scientist at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and leads the NESP Uncharted Climate Futures project. His research focuses on improving and delivering climate change projections for Australia, with a particular focus on rainfall.





 

Andrea Taschetto is a researcher working with the NESP Climate Systems Hub's extreme climate: dry, wet, hot-and-dry to better understand Australia's climate variability. She is an Associate Professor at the Climate Change Research Centre at the University of New South Wales, and a Chief Investigator in the ARC Centres of Excellence for Climate Extremes and the 21st Century Weather.




 

Andrew King is an Associate Professor in Climate Science at the School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Melbourne and a Chief Investigator in the ARC Centre of Excellence for the Weather of the 21st Century. Andrew is interested in climate change projections under the Paris Agreement and net zero emissions pathways, understanding the effect of the rate of global warming on regional climates, and seasonal prediction of climate extremes.