Prosperity can only be maintained long term if it has a sustainable base. Delivering that given the many interacting uses and pressures on Australia's (and the worlds) ecosystems and resources is a complex challenge. Activities may interact in unexpected ways, amplifying effects and causing damage in way that is unappreciated if each activity is considered in isolation. Existing risk assessment tools only go part way in providing guidance on cumulative risks, potentially underestimating systemic risk by as much as 90%. A new generation of tools is required, methods that can encompass the non-additive interactions across the many stressors and uses of Australian systems.
Understanding cumulative impacts requires a systems approach across a broad array of scientific disciplines: physics, chemistry, ecology, economics, social sciences and more. All of these disciplines have developed their own first steps down the integrated assessment pathway, but amalgamating across those steps is critical for the next round of advances.
A symposium looking at the technical aspects of assessing cumulative impacts (what we do now and what is needed for the future) will be held in Hobart 13-15th June.
The aims of the Symposium are to:
- synthesize the current state-of-the-art for cumulative impact assessments;
- promote interchange around lessons on the pitfalls and successes of current methods for assessing cumulative impacts;
- develop linkages across disciplines that study cumulative impacts;
- create a launch pad for the development of the next generation of analytical and modelling methods required in support of cumulative impact assessments
Each half day will be structured around an Invited speaker and then a more interactive session. Invited speakers include:
Prof. Jasper Vrugt (Univ. of California Irvine, US): International leader in uncertainty modelling of complex natural systems
Dr. Keith Hayes (CSIRO): Leader of Data61's risk assessment group with more than 20 years experience in developing and implementing risk assessment techniques in a range of contexts.
Dr Paul Barnes: Head of the Risk & Resilience Program at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, Dr Barnes has wide experience in public sector roles at both the State and Federal levels around risk assessment frameworks
Prof. Bronwyn Gillanders (University of Adelaide): Leader of a research group focusing on the cumulative impact assessments of the large scale port and marine industry developments being under taken in the Spencer Gulf.
Dr. Jörn Schmidt (Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel): A driving force behind the ICES ecosystem assessment benchmarking process, which has to deliver information on cumulative impacts for the European Union's Marine Strategy Framework Directive.
For those coming to the workshop from outside of Hobart a block of rooms have been held until 11 May 2017 at the Old Woolstore Apartment Hotel, 1 Macquarie Street, Hobart.
5 x Hotel Room at $149 per room per night
10 x Studio Apartment at $169 per room per night
10 x One Bedroom Apartment at $189 per room per night
Please mention the booking reference #347233
Hobart also has a range of other hotels and air bnb options. However, we would recommend booking relative quickly as there are a rolling set of festivals in Hobart at present, including Dark Mofo (an arts festival held in June which will coincide with the symposium).